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Andrew J. Black
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Stochastic formulation of ecological models and their applications
AJ Black, AJ McKane
Trends in ecology & evolution 27 (6), 337-345, 2012
2692012
Ecological scaffolding and the evolution of individuality
AJ Black, P Bourrat, PB Rainey
Nature Ecology & Evolution 4 (3), 426-436, 2020
812020
Modelling the impact of COVID-19 in Australia to inform transmission reducing measures and health system preparedness
R Moss, J Wood, D Brown, F Shearer, AJ Black, AC Cheng, JM McCaw, ...
MedRxiv, 2020.04. 07.20056184, 2020
772020
Stochastic amplification in an epidemic model with seasonal forcing
AJ Black, AJ McKane
Journal of Theoretical Biology 267 (1), 85-94, 2010
772010
Stochastic fluctuations in the susceptible-infective-recovered model with distributed infectious periods
AJ Black, AJ McKane, A Nunes, A Parisi
Physical Review E 80 (2), 021922, 2009
622009
Stochasticity in staged models of epidemics: quantifying the dynamics of whooping cough
AJ Black, AJ McKane
Journal of the royal society interface 7 (49), 1219-1227, 2010
562010
Epidemiological consequences of household-based antiviral prophylaxis for pandemic influenza
AJ Black, T House, MJ Keeling, JV Ross
Journal of the Royal Society Interface 10 (81), 20121019, 2013
462013
Computation of epidemic final size distributions
AJ Black, JV Ross
Journal of theoretical biology 367, 159-165, 2015
442015
Mixing times in evolutionary game dynamics
AJ Black, A Traulsen, T Galla
Physical Review Letters 109 (2), 028101, 2012
392012
Influencing public health policy with data-informed mathematical models of infectious diseases: Recent developments and new challenges
A Alahmadi, S Belet, A Black, D Cromer, JA Flegg, T House, ...
Epidemics 32, 100393, 2020
382020
Characterising pandemic severity and transmissibility from data collected during first few hundred studies
AJ Black, N Geard, JM McCaw, J McVernon, JV Ross
Epidemics 19, 61-73, 2017
372017
WKB calculation of an epidemic outbreak distribution
AJ Black, AJ McKane
Journal of Statistical Mechanics: Theory and Experiment, 2011
312011
Coronavirus disease model to inform transmission-reducing measures and health system preparedness, Australia
R Moss, J Wood, D Brown, FM Shearer, AJ Black, K Glass, AC Cheng, ...
Emerging infectious diseases 26 (12), 2844, 2020
262020
Estimating a Markovian epidemic model using household serial interval data from the early phase of an epidemic
AJ Black, JV Ross
PLoS One 8 (8), e73420, 2013
202013
The effect of clumped population structure on the variability of spreading dynamics
AJ Black, T House, MJ Keeling, JV Ross
Journal of theoretical biology 359, 45-53, 2014
162014
Assessing the risk of spread of COVID-19 to the Asia Pacific region
FM Shearer, J Walker, N Tellioglu, JM McCaw, J McVernon, A Black, ...
MedRxiv, 2020.04. 09.20057257, 2020
152020
Contact tracing and antiviral prophylaxis in the early stages of a pandemic: the probability of a major outbreak
JV Ross, AJ Black
Mathematical Medicine and Biology: A Journal of the IMA 32 (3), 331-343, 2015
152015
Importance sampling for partially observed temporal epidemic models
AJ Black
Statistics and Computing 29 (4), 617-630, 2019
132019
Inference of epidemiological parameters from household stratified data
JN Walker, JV Ross, AJ Black
Plos one 12 (10), e0185910, 2017
122017
The distribution of the time taken for an epidemic to spread between two communities
AWC Yan, AJ Black, JM McCaw, N Rebuli, JV Ross, AJ Swan, RI Hickson
Mathematical Biosciences 303, 139-147, 2018
82018
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